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Understanding Markov Chains with the Black Friday Puzzle

November 23, 2015 by Will Kurt

Use Markov Chains and Linear Algebra to solve this holiday puzzle!

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November 23, 2015 /Will Kurt
November 2015, Stochastic Processes, Markov Chains, popular
26 Comments

Bayesian A/B Testing: A Hypothesis Test that Makes Sense

May 12, 2015 by Will Kurt

Confused by Hypothesis tesing used in A/B Tests? In this post we take a look at building an A/B from scratch the Bayesian way!

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May 12, 2015 /Will Kurt
May 2015, parameter estimation, hypothesis testing, popular
29 Comments

Monte Carlo Simulations in R

March 24, 2015 by Will Kurt

Monte Carlo simulations are very fun to write and can be incredibly useful for solving ticky math problems. In this post we explore how to write six very useful Monte Carlo simulations in R to get you thinking about how to use them on your own.

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March 24, 2015 /Will Kurt
March 2015, popular
25 Comments

Han Solo and Bayesian Priors

March 17, 2015 by Will Kurt

There is an iconic probability problem in The Empire Strikes Back! Han Solo is told that navigating an asteroid field is extremely unlikely to be successful. However not only does he navigate the asteroid field successfully, but we know he will. Learn how we can use Bayesian Priors to reconcile C3POs frequentist views on probability with our natural reasoning.

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March 17, 2015 /Will Kurt
popular, March 2015
39 Comments

Bayes' Theorem with Lego

February 19, 2015 by Will Kurt

Find Bayes' Theorem confusing? Let's break down this famous formula using Lego to help you build up a better intuition for this foundational concept!

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February 19, 2015 /Will Kurt
popular, February 2015
68 Comments

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